Trade of the day

Chelsea v Portsmouth 15.00pm

Team news

Chelsea skipper John Terry has declared himself fit for Saturday’s FA Cup final with Portsmouth after scans confirmed he had not fractured his right foot.

Branislav Ivanovic is a doubt with knee trouble so Paulo Ferreira stands by, while John Obi Mikel has undergone minor surgery on a knee injury.

Portsmouth’s Jamie O’Hara (stress fracture) is a doubt.

Aruna Dindane (groin), Kevin-Prince Boateng (ankle) and Marc Wilson (hamstring) are also concerns.

Stats and form

Chelsea unbeaten in 28 matches against Pompey.

Two meetings this season ended 0-5 and 2-1 to Chelsea.

Chelsea only beaten once in last 10 matches and won last 3 scoring 17 and conceding 0.

Pompey lost 4 of the last 5.

Won 3 in the last 12.

Speculation

Little bit wary of the Wembley pitch and it might not be the landslide victory many believe it will be. Sure Chelsea be happy with a comfortable 2-0 victory.

The strategy we are using has 2 scoreline risks, the 2-2 and 3-1. The 3-1 to an extent we can cover and if we manage to get to that scoreline we can add to it if necessary to limit losses. With the form Chelsea are in it is hard to see Pompey scoring 1 let alone 2. All other scores are covered via AUQ and a LAY of under 3.5. We’re almost arbing the 2 markets with cover on 3-1 to make a small profit whatever the outcome. This is a strategy I often use when there is a strong favourite which tends to limit the markets you can use.

Trade

BACK AUQ

BACK 3-1

LAY OVER 3.5

As stated above 2-2 and 3-1 are our dangers. 2-2 is unlikely. We are looking to make between £15 and £20 here in what hopefully will be a nice smooth trade on any other scorelines! We can very much leave this alone and possibly add to the 3-1 if the odds drift out although it will eat into our £15 to £20 profit.

I will be trading this in the Vets Room.

Good luck and will see you then.

Post match round up

At 1-0 we were totally in control. Nice little £12 profit made.

~ by Juan on May 15, 2010.

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