Trade of the day – Tues, 24-08-10

Post match roundup

Perfect start for Sampdoria and our members. 2-0 we layed Samp in “To Qualify” market; followed in 2nd half by greening up on CS and hedging the TQ market to leave a £40 profit overall. Trading 3 markets is not easy but pleasing to note that the concentration was spot on by all in the chat. We must mention in despatches, Steve184 for putting us straight on the CS lays at precisely the right time…and a newer member Lower for his acute analysis & input. £5 and a cigar goes to that man!

SAMPDORIA  v WERDER BREMEN  19.45pm

Trade

BACK Sampdoria “To Qualify” @ 4.6
LAY Sampdoria Match Odds @ 2.24
BACK 1-0
BACK 2-1

Stats

  • Sampdoria trail 3-1 from first leg.
  • Sampdoria were undefeated at home in Serie A last seson
  • Sampdoria have a 100 per cent winning record over two legs when they face teams from the Bundesliga
  • Werder Bremen away record in Champions League reads played 19, won 4, drawn 4 and lost 11.
  • Werder lost last saturday 4-1 to Hoffenheim

Speculation

Sampdoria need to win by 2 clear goals to qualify (except 3-1 which results in tie going to Extra Time)
I expect Sampdoria to go for it. Bremen`s perennial style is not to sit back so this should be an open game
Backing Over2.5 goals @ 1.74 is an alternative bet to the above trade

Scenarios

A Sampdoria goal – any time up upto 75mins – will see their “to qualify” odds drop which we can then lay for £25 @ 2.5ish
Depending on timing of goal we can additionally either back 1-1 or lay 2-0…possibly back 3-1 or top up on 2-1
Bremen score first we will be looking at a losing trade of £15. Maybe we can recoup some of that by backing other scores
0-0/0-2/1-2/2-2/1-3/2-3/3-3 likewise is a losing trade as above
2-1…if we have already layed “to qualify” then profit on this score will have increased
3-1…the conundrum!. The match then goes to ET. Sampdoria`s odds to qualify should drop to at least 3.0 as they are the fav & home team
3-2…a nightmare
2-0 & 3-0…happy days

A live webinar will be opened for this trade. Link to be mailed to members at 19.30pm and also to be found in the Rookies chat room page

Other trades will be in the Veterans chat room

~ by latraderette on August 24, 2010.

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