Trade of the day Tues 9 Nov

Post match roundup

Tricky evening for 70 minutes tonight aside the Forest trade which was textbook AA and yielded a £45 profit. Thanks to Lamb for spotting that one earlier. The dog scoring first is great as the market expects the fave to hit back. Cheap inusrance on NG can be taken in case dog scores a second. PLUS you still have the 2-2 which can come into play with the dog scoring first………..

Onto Portsmouth and a pretty piss poor game by all accounts. We layed the 0-0 for the NN at 7s leaving £12 red on all but the 2-2. At around 70 mins we layed UNDER 1.5 at 1.31 for £20. Pompey scored and a last min pen to Rangers made it 1-1. The Overs + 1-1 backers that layed under 1.5 too made £25 profit. The NN should have made £7.

Stoke v Birmingham HT/FT trade:
This trade relies on an accurate reading of the anticipated odds movement in the MO market.
Birmingham, the dog @ 3.2 prematch, however, played like a dog and the market reacted to the
mangy mongrel by offering 27.0 at HT when 1-0 down.
Option 1): LAY £10 at 27.0 and reduce overall red
Option 2): LAY BRUM Next Goal @ 3.9  £25.

I decided on option 1 and hoped for a more spirited performance from Brum in 2nd half. Which is what happened after they went 2-0 down. At 2-2 we layed them again @ 7.2 for £20 leaving a £19 overall red on the trade

Option 2: The worry I had was would the price of Brum in MO be low enough should they equalise to make it 1-1
I thought not and withdrew the original order.
Hindsight – and an excellent review by dario – revealed that we could have layed Brum in NG + back them in MO @ 27.0 for say £5
The additonal £135 on Brum would have given us sufficient green to play with should they get back into the game.
In fact at 2-0 you could have backed them @ 100.0

STOKE v BIRMINGHAM  19.45pm

Had recent success 3/3 with the HT/FT strat so we`ll go for 4/4!

Trade

BACK: AUQ HT SCORE

BACK HT/FT

capture_09112010_121044.jpg

To see how this trade works check out the video in the members` area: HT/FT + HTauq

Lamb flagged up a potential AA on Forest v Coventry which looks a good shout as 10s is currently available for 2-1. Liquidity should pick up before kick off in the cs market. Did look at a CoverS for Spurs but plenty of injuries curtailed that one.

Quick note about TOTD’s, if for whatever reason you don’t fancy them please don’t feel obliged to do them, bingo and I won’t be offended. Many in chat do their own thing, share ideas and make money.

PORTSMOUTH v QPR 19.45pm

STATS

1st plays 13th. Pompey are on a run of four straight home wins in the league.

  • Four of the last five meetings between Pompey and QPR have ended level.
  • Portsmouth have only won two of their last eight matches at home to the Hoops in all competitions.
  • The last side to go unbeaten in their opening 15 games in the second tier was Wigan in 2004.
TEAM NEWS

Portsmouth striker David Nugent has been sidelined by a knee problem.

Nugent suffered the injury in training ahead of Saturday’s defeat at Derby and is not ready to return, so John Utaka may again play up front.

Queens Park Rangers boss Neil Warnock is without the suspended Bradley Orr and plans to recall left-back Clint Hill, who was rested against Reading.

Striker Heidar Helguson, who has been out with a shoulder problem, will be assessed ahead of the game.

MATCH PREVIEW

QPR are back on top of the Championship and, with 29 goals this season, are again its top scorers. But their manager Neil Warnock claims it is Portsmouth who have the division’s best first-choice starting XI.

Pompey’s defeat at Derby on Saturday ended a seven-match unbeaten run, and they have enjoyed four consecutive home victories. Another maximum would leave them with seven wins this season – as many as they managed throughout the whole of last term’s ill-fated Premier League campaign.

Their climb up the table has been impressive, but they now face the Football League’s only unbeaten team, who bounced back from four successive draws to beat Reading 3-1 on Saturday despite playing the second half with 10 men.

Tommy Smith, who left Portsmouth to join the R’s on deadline day, made his first start for the west London club in that game and scored. He will be eager to face his former club along with midfielder Shaun Derry, who spent two-and-a-half years at Fratton Park.

MATCH FACTS

Head-to-head

• QPR have won 12 and Portsmouth 10 of the 32 previous league meetings between these clubs.

• They were last in the same division in 2000/01, when both games ended in a 1-1 draw.

Portsmouth

• Portsmouth are averaging 2.14 goals per home game in the Championship this season. Only Derby better that.

• Only Preston, however, have kept fewer clean sheets this term than Pompey, who have managed just two.

Queens Park Rangers

• Five more league matches without defeat would equal QPR’s club record run of 20.

• Rangers have scored three goals in a third of their league fixtures this season (five of 15). In addition, they beat Barnsley 4-0 on the opening day.

• They have conceded only six Championship goals this season, and kept an unrivalled 10 clean sheets.

STRATS

Two options. NN

Back 0-0

Back 2-2

Second option

Back over 2.5

Back 1-1

All important stakes to members.

Second option…….Can wait 10 mins to get better price on overs, OR just back at the start.

Good luck, see you later. Both games will be traded in the Vets Room.

Cheers
Bingo & Adster

~ by Juan on November 9, 2010.

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