The importance of insurance, because you never can tell.

After talking with our man in Toulouse, we agreed that the Under 2.5 price for the Lyon game was too high. French games are notoriously low scoring and, in this author’s opinion, dishwater affairs. We took on the Unders with cover on 2-1, 3-0 and 3-1, some also did 2-2. At HT the score was 1-1 and there were definitely more goals to come, as such, a lay of Under 4.5 was suggested as cover, which was surprisingly cheap considering there had been two goals already. It quickly became apparent that the 4.5 lay was a good shout, as 2-1 came after just ten minutes of the 2nd half, with the suggestion of even more. Ideally we were looking for 3-1 or 2-2 around 80 minutes, 2-2 arrived on 84. We greened both markets and got out for scratch.  On my own ratings, this game was two goals at most and Toulouse Lautrec had the Under 2.5 price 1.64. We took into account the lack of Gourcuff and the addition of Toulalan,  a defensive midfielder. We viewed the league positional consequences and still we agreed this game should be Under 2.5. Final score 3-2!

Taking insurance is key to bank preservation and bank preservation should be the ultimate focus for any trader. Taking the safe route early is always the best route. Had we not entered the 4.5 market at HT, we would’ve been looking at guaranteed red, no telling how big but potentially it could’ve been both ends of our trade. Knowing when to get out before you get in, should be at or very close to the top of your trading lessons to learn.

Stay green.

~ by latraderette on April 28, 2011.

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